Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity
for the Next 1-5 Days

Are YOU Prepared?




February 5, 2005
By Stan Deyo
Home http://standeyo.com


Major areas of interest: Watch New Zealand, Fiji, Japan and Sea of Japan. Ecuador, Brazil should have continuing risk of seismic activity. From the Coral Sea to Indonesia appears to have seismic activity as well. Aftershocks continue in Nicobar.

I can't determine what the signal off the southern tip of Juan de Fuca plate means. It is such a huge heating/cooling anomaly that it may signal the approach something bigger over the next few days - especially with all the activity across from it (antipodal) on the Ring of Fire.

(DEYO NOTES: Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs. You can view the majority of these 300 Ecuadorian earthquakes in two PDS here and here.) A sometimes more all-encompassing earthquake resource than USGS is EMSC - European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre. Go to their current map, go to their current list.

Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to Stan's Hits and Misses.

Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover interference and false signals from buoys.


Stan's Hits (USGS posted) from Last 7 Days Yield 76% Accuracy

(please refer to the last 7 days of maps)
Mag
Date
Time
Lat
Long
Depth
Location
Hit/Miss
4.4
2005/02/05
18:43:30 
 37.395
-121.487
   7.0
 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
HIT
4.5
2005/02/05
18:13:45 
 27.375
 140.092
 333.0
 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
HIT
5.9
2005/02/05
17:35:47 
  8.119
  94.188
  30.0
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
7.1
2005/02/05
12:23:16 
  5.363
 123.229
 486.3
 CELEBES SEA
HIT
2.5
2005/02/05
09:52:29 
 46.192
-122.189
   0.6
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
5.4
2005/02/05
08:00:28 
  8.118
  94.134
  18.4
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.5
2005/02/05
05:06:32 
 46.196
-122.181
   0.8
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
5.1
2005/02/05
04:33:17 
  2.279
  95.160
  27.2
 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA
HIT
5.0
2005/02/05
04:09:53 
  2.454
  95.016
  30.0
 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA
HIT
5.9
2005/02/05
04:03:14 
  2.255
  95.034
  30.0
 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA
HIT
3.1
2005/02/05
03:46:13 
 40.832
-122.560
   5.9
 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
HIT
6.6
2005/02/05
03:34:26 
 16.036
 145.768
 137.5
 ANATAHAN REG., NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
HIT
4.5
2005/02/05
03:25:23 
 -9.710
 122.507
  75.5
 SAVU SEA
HIT
4.7
2005/02/05
03:07:07 
 10.125
  93.096
  30.0
 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
4.7
2005/02/05
01:58:10 
 13.441
  92.821
  30.0
 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
4.7
2005/02/05
01:16:39 
 36.719
 141.742
  19.9
 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
HIT
2.6
2005/02/05
01:06:56 
 36.079
-117.844
   3.9
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
3.1
2005/02/04
23:27:40 
 38.867
-123.604
   0.1
 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
HIT
2.5
2005/02/04
19:30:06 
 47.313
-122.382
  27.5
 SEATTLE-TACOMA URBAN AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
2.5
2005/02/04
19:25:38 
 46.196
-122.190
   0.9
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
5.1
2005/02/04
18:34:13 
 33.140
 142.070
  19.2
 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
HIT
4.8
2005/02/04
17:53:05 
  8.036
  94.273
  30.0
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
5.2
2005/02/04
16:06:27 
 17.496
 145.485
 492.3
 ALAMAGAN REG., NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
HIT
2.5
2005/02/04
15:21:40 
 46.198
-122.188
   0.8
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
3.7
2005/02/04
11:38:03 
 43.353
-126.730
  10.0
 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
HIT
4.6
2005/02/04
11:28:51 
  8.449
 -82.398
  32.5
 PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER REGION
HIT
3.0
2005/02/04
10:00:53 
 31.739
-116.006
   6.0
 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
HIT
5.1
2005/02/04
09:44:53 
  7.881
  94.292
  22.0
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
5.1
2005/02/04
06:13:09 
 -4.475
 144.371
  87.0
 NEAR NORTH COAST OF NEW GUINEA, P.N.G.
HIT
2.6
2005/02/04
03:20:35 
 46.188
-122.186
   0.0
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
5.3
2005/02/03
20:13:30 
 26.176
  95.572
  74.8
 MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION
HIT
4.7
2005/02/03
19:50:10 
  6.661
 -72.882
 164.0
 NORTHERN COLOMBIA
HIT
3.2
2005/02/03
18:12:55 
 35.714
-121.143
   0.1
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
2.5
2005/02/03
18:07:20 
 46.187
-122.195
   0.3
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
2.8
2005/02/03
16:13:20 
 35.924
-120.468
   5.0
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
4.4
2005/02/03
14:56:36 
 32.379
 137.207
 399.4
 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
HIT
3.1
2005/02/03
14:08:04 
 48.084
-122.576
  32.1
 PUGET SOUND REGION, WASHINGTON
HIT
2.6
2005/02/02
21:14:26 
 38.006
-118.669
   7.7
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
2.7
2005/02/02
20:47:58 
 46.197
-122.185
   0.9
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
5.0
2005/02/02
20:41:05 
  6.812
  92.848
  17.0
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.7
2005/02/02
19:29:12 
 38.005
-118.671
   7.7
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
3.4
2005/02/02
19:17:18 
 60.008
-153.095
 120.4
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
HIT
2.5
2005/02/02
15:22:35 
 35.040
-118.957
  13.8
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
5.0
2005/02/02
14:58:07 
  6.478
  90.330
  10.0
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.6
2005/02/02
14:28:57 
 36.640
-121.258
   7.2
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
5.1
2005/02/02
14:11:46 
 -6.628
 144.690
   6.3
 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
HIT
2.8
2005/02/02
13:28:30 
 58.603
-153.457
  60.0
 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA
HIT
2.8
2005/02/02
12:55:07 
 56.065
-157.818
  35.0
 ALASKA PENINSULA
HIT
3.4
2005/02/02
11:53:27 
 61.673
-154.638
   1.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
HIT
2.9
2005/02/02
08:58:44 
 53.236
-167.009
  60.0
 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
HIT
5.8
2005/02/02
06:28:36 
 -7.451
 145.119
  20.3
 NEAR SOUTH COAST OF NEW GUINEA, P.N.G.
HIT
6.2
2005/02/02
02:30:27 
 14.091
 144.703
 162.7
 ROTA REGION, NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
HIT
2.7
2005/02/02
02:02:07 
 62.982
-147.690
 160.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
HIT
5.4
2005/02/02
01:30:22 
  9.990
  93.980
  37.1
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.6
2005/02/01
23:13:38 
 63.047
-150.882
 120.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
HIT
2.6
2005/02/01
22:19:34 
 46.193
-122.192
   0.5
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
3.0
2005/02/01
20:33:56 
 61.279
-152.393
 120.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
HIT
2.6
2005/02/01
17:47:18 
 46.195
-122.186
   0.8
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
5.1
2005/02/01
17:40:49 
 -6.459
 154.518
  57.4
 BOUGAINVILLE REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
HIT
5.3
2005/02/01
17:14:06 
  2.845
  94.237
  28.7
 OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA
HIT
3.0
2005/02/01
17:02:52 
 56.494
-156.166
  10.0
 ALASKA PENINSULA
HIT
5.1
2005/02/01
15:54:13 
 10.045
  94.093
  28.3
 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
4.7
2005/02/01
15:37:55 -
-19.660
-178.319
 574.4
 FIJI REGION
HIT
3.2
2005/02/01
15:34:28 
 55.979
-153.964
  32.2
 SOUTH OF ALASKA
HIT
5.4
2005/02/01
14:15:49 
  5.234
  94.621
  23.7
 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
HIT
5.2
2005/02/01
13:54:38 
 10.012
  94.037
  44.1
 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
5.2
2005/02/01
13:41:54 
  8.189
  94.158
  19.2
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.6
2005/02/01
12:51:35 
 46.194
-122.184
   0.4
 MOUNT ST. HELENS AREA, WASHINGTON
HIT
2.9
2005/02/01
12:34:09 
 42.444
-111.410
   0.6
 SOUTHERN IDAHO
HIT
5.4
2005/02/01
10:35:17 
  9.972
  94.012
  34.6
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.9
2005/02/01
10:29:17 
 61.579
-152.416
 160.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
HIT
5.0
2005/02/01
09:21:02 -
-21.740
-179.456
 570.1
 FIJI REGION
HIT
2.6
2005/02/01
08:36:53 
 61.897
-150.955
  70.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
HIT
3.4
2005/02/01
08:20:51 
 53.531
-166.038
  45.0
 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
HIT
3.0
2005/02/01
04:24:02 
 62.919
-143.845
   1.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
HIT
5.1
2005/02/01
01:59:48 
 24.240
 121.790
  20.7
 TAIWAN
HIT
5.3
2005/02/01
01:08:02 
  7.950
  94.001
  16.8
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
3.3
2005/01/31
20:27:22 
 19.538
 -65.284
  54.5
 PUERTO RICO REGION
HIT
4.7
2005/01/31
20:21:03 
 -8.617
 112.484
  10.0
 JAVA, INDONESIA
HIT
2.6
2005/01/31
17:35:42 
 60.380
-152.327
 100.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
HIT
2.6
2005/01/31
17:13:53 
 36.516
-120.678
   6.4
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
2.7
2005/01/31
15:14:16 
 32.766
-115.434
  15.9
 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
HIT
3.3
2005/01/31
14:54:19 
 32.130
-117.624
   7.0
 OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
HIT
2.8
2005/01/31
14:05:26 
 32.779
-115.433
  15.4
 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
HIT
5.4
2005/01/31
09:39:48 
 41.832
 143.652
  27.2
 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION
HIT
2.6
2005/01/31
09:10:46 
 62.350
-149.892
   1.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
HIT
2.5
2005/01/31
08:03:22 
 32.780
-115.434
  15.8
 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
HIT
2.6
2005/01/31
07:58:42 
 62.848
-150.766
  90.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
HIT
2.7
2005/01/31
02:18:14 
 32.767
-115.430
  15.6
 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
HIT
5.8
2005/01/31
01:05:32 
 37.529
  20.185
  23.4
 IONIAN SEA
HIT
5.1
2005/01/30
21:39:04 
  8.260
  94.260
  22.0
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.7
2005/01/30
20:19:57 
 52.633
-166.957
   1.0
 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
HIT
 ?
2005/01/30
20:06:34 -
-37.320
 177.320
 145.0
 OFF EAST COAST OF THE NORTH ISLAND, N.Z.
HIT
2.7
2005/01/30
19:46:14 
 59.825
-152.587
  80.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
HIT
2.5
2005/01/30
19:07:28 
 54.586
-161.988
  30.0
 ALASKA PENINSULA
HIT
4.7
2005/01/30
17:04:57 -
-15.593
-173.851
  49.6
 TONGA
HIT
4.9
2005/01/30
16:23:51 
 35.901
  29.720
  37.7
 EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA
HIT
5.4
2005/01/30
15:33:14 
  8.150
  94.070
  18.9
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
3.1
2005/01/30
13:23:15 
 36.048
-120.037
   9.0
 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
HIT
2.6
2005/01/30
09:55:57 
 62.199
-149.571
  35.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
HIT
2.5
2005/01/30
09:48:55 
 60.897
-150.925
  10.0
 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA
HIT
3.8
2005/01/30
09:22:54 -
-38.170
 176.770
  80.0
 NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
HIT
 ?
2005/01/30
09:04:18 -
-38.480
 175.900
 156.0
 NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
HIT
5.2
2005/01/30
08:49:37 
  8.145
  94.246
  21.2
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
3.3
2005/01/30
08:41:54 
 57.357
-154.252
  14.9
 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA
HIT
3.4
2005/01/30
08:27:25 
 18.794
 -64.684
  24.6
 VIRGIN ISLANDS
HIT
5.3
2005/01/30
08:10:44 -
-23.047
-175.078
  47.9
 TONGA REGION
HIT
5.6
2005/01/30
08:08:27 -
-24.404
-176.009
  32.8
 SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS
HIT
2.8
2005/01/30
08:01:22 
 58.977
-152.426
  35.0
 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA
HIT
5.7
2005/01/30
07:06:48 
 -0.880
 -80.957
  28.6
 NEAR THE COAST OF ECUADOR
HIT
5.0
2005/01/30
07:02:25 
 13.135
  93.019
  23.9
 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
4.3
2005/01/30
06:49:30 
 -0.862
 -80.983
  10.0
 NEAR THE COAST OF ECUADOR
HIT
 ?
2005/01/30
03:24:33 -
-38.440
 175.840
 153.0
 NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
HIT
5.1
2005/01/30
02:25:42 
  8.231
  94.264
  19.7
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.8
2005/01/30
01:06:09 
 18.592
 -67.526
   8.4
 MONA PASSAGE
HIT
2.9
2005/01/30
00:26:39 
 58.772
-152.701
  35.0
 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA
HIT
4.8
2005/01/30
00:13:01 
  8.264
  94.334
  30.0
 NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION
HIT
2.8
2005/02/05
23:37:40 
 33.181
-115.647
   1.9
 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MISS
2.5
2005/02/05
18:59:50 
 62.599
-150.651
  10.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
MISS
3.6
2005/02/05
13:30:03 
 63.141
-151.659
  10.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
MISS
2.5
2005/02/05
07:51:03 
 59.909
-153.292
 140.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
MISS
2.9
2005/02/05
03:23:42 
 31.962
-116.210
   6.1
 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MISS
3.0
2005/02/05
02:07:08 
 62.147
-150.856
  70.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
MISS
2.6
2005/02/04
19:55:14 
 19.385
-155.241
   3.5
 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MISS
2.9
2005/02/04
12:43:20 
 19.342
-155.284
   1.7
 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MISS
5.0
2005/02/04
09:15:45 -
-37.757
 -73.027
  69.5
 BIO-BIO, CHILE
MISS
2.5
2005/02/04
05:42:01 
 62.000
-150.213
  80.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
MISS
2.8
2005/02/04
04:26:19 
 59.830
-152.288
  70.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
MISS
4.3
2005/02/04
00:20:01 
 37.606
  43.672
  30.0
 TURKEY-IRAQ BORDER REGION
MISS
2.5
2005/02/03
23:24:04 
 33.166
-115.656
   3.9
 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MISS
2.7
2005/02/03
21:37:52 
 19.819
-156.084
  44.7
 HAWAII REGION, HAWAII
MISS
2.8
2005/02/03
20:05:07 
 19.337
-155.285
   0.7
 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MISS
3.0
2005/02/03
16:11:00 
 60.332
-152.222
 100.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
MISS
4.7
2005/02/03
15:36:09 
 50.286
-129.794
  10.0
 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION
MISS
3.5
2005/02/03
14:39:55 
 53.550
-163.441
  10.0
 UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA
MISS
3.1
2005/02/03
13:38:47 
 54.400
-162.505
  10.0
 ALASKA PENINSULA
MISS
2.9
2005/02/03
11:41:25 
 63.546
-148.879
  10.0
 CENTRAL ALASKA
MISS
2.6
2005/02/03
08:06:42 
 60.880
-152.363
 120.0
 SOUTHERN ALASKA
MISS
3.2
2005/02/03
04:52:21 
 34.158
-117.426
  10.3
 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA
MISS
2.6
2005/02/03
00:56:20 
 19.343
-155.284
   1.9
 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MISS
4.2
2005/02/02
13:17:38 
 31.899
-116.216
   0.0
 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MISS
2.9
2005/02/02
11:48:17 
 58.496
-150.957
  15.0
 GULF OF ALASKA
MISS
3.0
2005/02/02
09:42:00 
 51.775
-176.575
  70.0
 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA
MISS
2.7
2005/02/01
15:35:11 
 31.873
-116.167
   6.0
 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MISS
5.1
2005/02/01
10:28:39 -
-20.357
-175.997
 167.9
 TONGA
MISS
3.2
2005/02/01
06:15:52 
 59.699
-146.331
   1.0
 GULF OF ALASKA
MISS
4.5
2005/02/01
03:03:56 -
-15.458
 -70.487
 191.3
 SOUTHERN PERU
MISS
2.6
2005/02/01
02:04:37 
 32.737
-115.420
  15.9
 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MISS
5.2
2005/01/31
20:29:09 
 65.868
  -9.837
  19.4
 NORWEGIAN SEA
MISS
5.6
2005/01/31
13:56:38 -
-56.076
 -27.423
 109.3
 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
MISS
2.8
2005/01/30
19:16:25 
 19.341
-155.111
   8.5
 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MISS
3.1
2005/01/30
13:25:17 
 19.350
-155.123
   9.0
 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
MISS
4.0
2005/01/30
11:37:51 
 34.766
-111.079
   5.0
 ARIZONA
MISS