Expected Global Earthquake, Volcanic or
Storm Activity for the Next 1 to 5 Days
(Experimental); Except the SW Pacific and Indonesian
Ocean Which Have a 1 to 10 Day Window
Are YOU Prepared?
May 18, 2007
By Stan Deyo
Go to Earth Changes News
Many people have visited our website and checked my earthquake (shaker) forecast over the last 9 years... - at least until 12 November 2006 when I lost access to the SST NCODA Anomaly maps which the US Navy's FNMOC at Monterey allowed the public to use. It has taken me this long to build a new database from other sources so that I could again make seismic forecasts on a global basis.
Due to the way in which the data are collected, it has become more difficult for me to see the "butterfly" pattern which used to signal major seismic events along the various coastlines of the world. However, even though I might miss a few smaller ones, until I have mastered the new analysis method I have decided to post these "Shake Alerts" when I see significant stresses building in areas which could cause damage to population centers.
Remember: This new forecast map analysis is still experimental and should not be considered 100% efficient.
Shake Alert Warning 19-24 may 2007:
A rare buildup of seismic stresses are building off the Oregon coast today. They start way out in the Pacific over 1800 miles away and form a stress line all the way over to the Juan de Fuca Plate and slightly southward into northern California. If you live in the areas - especially along the coast or near the major fault lines in these areas.... you might want to be sure you have emergency supplies ready.... It NEVER hurts to be cautious. I was taught to be cautious by my grandmother and I now advise you benefit from her sage advice.
Mediterranean Sea region near Sardinia and near Greece is showing large thermal stress signatures. Either some large weather events are in progress or these areas are about to have significant quakes in the next five days...
The region has been having a number of small aftershocks over the past two weeks and I see signs east of Hokkaido of what may be seismic stress, however, I have not circled it as I think it could be the result of clouds and weather conditions. Still if you live near this area you might want to be sure you have your emergency supplies ready....
The Nias region is having aftershocks from the "Big One" in 2004 which took so many lives and livestock. It shows signs of a seismic event in the region of 4 to 5 on the Richter Scale.
There are two areas of concern here. The first and most likely is in the southern part of the North Island. The other is out at sea to the NE of the North Island. I think we will be seeing increased quake activity for many months to come throughout the North Island. It would be judicious to keep and eye on the temperatures at Lake Taupo and volcanic activity on White Island.
For an explanation of how these maps are produced, please see this area. Stan Deyo
Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous white line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.
Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.
Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.